Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Oliveirense win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Porto II had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Oliveirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Porto II win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that UD Oliveirense would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
