Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villingen win with a probability of 59.84%. A win for Reutlingen had a probability of 20.44% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villingen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 3-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Reutlingen win was 1-2 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villingen would win this match.
