Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.76%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.