Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.