Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 71.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 11.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.