Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 8.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.29%) and 3-0 (10.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.
