Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mauritania and Sierra Leone.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 8.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.29%) and 3-0 (10.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.
