SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 8.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.29%) and 3-0 (10.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Sierra Leone |
| 73.01% | 18.71% | 8.28% |
| Both teams to score 34.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.86% | 54.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.44% | 75.56% |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.52% | 13.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.7% | 60.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 9.2% | 90.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritania | Draw | Sierra Leone |
| 2-0 @ 16.32% 1-0 @ 16.29% 3-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 5.51% 4-0 @ 5.46% 4-1 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.4% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.82% Total : 73.01% | 1-1 @ 8.24% 0-0 @ 8.13% 2-2 @ 2.09% Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.71% | 0-1 @ 4.11% 1-2 @ 2.09% 0-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.04% Total : 8.28% |
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