Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 41.31%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.