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NN
Friendlies 1
Oct 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
MN

Netherlands
0 - 1
Mexico


Wijndal (58'), Stengs (78'), Veltman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jimenez (60' pen.)
Herrera (55'), dos Santos (68'), Araujo (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
NetherlandsDrawMexico
45.19%25.58%29.22%
Both teams to score 53.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67%50.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73%72.27%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76%22.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.33%55.67%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57%31.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.19%67.81%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 45.18%
    Mexico 29.22%
    Draw 25.58%
NetherlandsDrawMexico
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 45.18%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.09%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 29.22%


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