SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Netherlands | Draw | Mexico |
| 45.19% | 25.58% | 29.22% |
| Both teams to score 53.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.67% | 50.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.73% | 72.27% |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% | 22.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.33% | 55.67% |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% | 31.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.19% | 67.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Netherlands | Draw | Mexico |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.25% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.09% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.22% |
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