Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest Burundi win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
