Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.