SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Bnei Raina win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Bnei Raina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Bnei Raina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Bnei Raina | Draw | Hapoel Hadera |
35.94% ( 0.56) | 28.61% ( 0.21) | 35.45% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 45.99% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.53% ( -0.74) | 60.46% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.41% ( -0.57) | 80.59% ( 0.56) |
| Maccabi Bnei Raina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% ( -0.02) | 32.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.51% ( -0.02) | 68.48% ( 0.02) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.66% ( -0.88) | 32.34% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.15% ( -1) | 68.85% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Bnei Raina | Draw | Hapoel Hadera |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.94% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.6% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.44% |
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