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J1 League | Gameweek 3
Jul 18, 2020 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Urawa

Oliveira (45'), Adailton (66')
Nakamura (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leonardo (74'), Sekine (90+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Urawa Red Diamonds.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 44.42%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Urawa Red Diamonds win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
44.42%28.04%27.54%
Both teams to score 45.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.65%60.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.5%80.5%
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93%27.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56%62.44%
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.91%38.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.14%74.85%
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 44.42%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 27.54%
    Draw 28.02%
FC TokyoDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 13.47%
2-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 8.5%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 44.42%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 9.95%
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.54%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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