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J1 League | Gameweek 12
Jul 4, 2020 at 10am UK
Panasonic Stadium Suita

Gamba Osaka
1 - 2
Cerezo

Ademilson (68' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Okuno (45+2'), Maruhashi (62')
Kimoto (66')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawCerezo Osaka
45.85%25.48%28.67%
Both teams to score 53.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.82%50.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.85%72.15%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12%21.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88%55.12%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23%31.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8%68.19%
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 45.85%
    Cerezo Osaka 28.67%
    Draw 25.48%
Gamba OsakaDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 45.85%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.95%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 4.57%
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 28.67%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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