Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.