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J1 League | Gameweek 29
Jul 4, 2020 at 11am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
2 - 1
Kashima Antlers

Taniguchi (2'), Hasegawa (30')
Ienaga (43'), Oshima (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Damiao (32' og.)
Uchida (17'), Machida (76'), Nagaki (87')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Kashima Antlers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawKashima Antlers
49.56%24.74%25.69%
Both teams to score 53.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.92%49.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.85%71.15%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17%19.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.09%51.9%
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49%33.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86%70.14%
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 49.56%
    Kashima Antlers 25.69%
    Draw 24.73%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-0 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 49.56%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.64%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.26%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.69%


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