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J1 League | Gameweek 3
Mar 9, 2024 at 5am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)

Machida Zelvia
1 - 0
Kashima Antlers

Hirakawa (13')
Vasquez (22'), Shibato (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nono (60')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Machida Zelvia in this match.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawKashima Antlers
36.57% (0.229 0.23) 27.75% (0.17 0.17) 35.68% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)
Both teams to score 48.57% (-0.537 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.71% (-0.661 -0.66)57.3% (0.662 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.87% (-0.53 -0.53)78.13% (0.52900000000001 0.53)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97% (-0.187 -0.19)30.03% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.85% (-0.225 -0.23)66.16% (0.223 0.22)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (-0.58 -0.58)30.59% (0.579 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.18% (-0.692 -0.69)66.82% (0.69199999999999 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 36.57%
    Kashima Antlers 35.68%
    Draw 27.74%
Machida ZelviaDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 36.57%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.19% (0.229 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 35.68%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-3 Kashima Antlers
Friday, February 23 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Yokohama FC
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 Kashima Antlers
Friday, November 24 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League


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