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J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 4, 2020 at 10.30am UK
Oita Bank Dome

Oita Trinita
2 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Tanaka (66', 89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Oita Trinita and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oita Trinita win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oita Trinita win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oita Trinita would win this match.

Result
Oita TrinitaDrawSagan Tosu
39.75%28.21%32.03%
Both teams to score 46.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.57%59.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.2%79.8%
Oita Trinita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82%29.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87%65.12%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87%34.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18%70.82%
Score Analysis
    Oita Trinita 39.75%
    Sagan Tosu 32.03%
    Draw 28.2%
Oita TrinitaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 12.26%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 7.55%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 39.75%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.96%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 10.7%
1-2 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 5.76%
1-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 32.03%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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