Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 45.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 27.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-2 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shelbourne in this match.