Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Cheltenham Town
39.24% ( -2.51)	25.91% ( 0.51)	34.85% ( 2)

Both teams to score 54.39% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.09% (

-1.8)

49.9% (

1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.1% (

-1.63)

71.89% (

1.62)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

-2.08)

24.99% (

2.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.35% (

-2.97)

59.65% (

2.97)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51% (

0.36)

27.49% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.01% (

0.47)

62.98% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 39.24%

Cheltenham Town 34.85%

Draw 25.91%

Barnsley	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.24%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.85%