Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.