Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
