Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.