SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%).
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Newport County |
| 33.44% | 26.07% | 40.48% |
| Both teams to score 53.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% | 50.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.26% | 72.74% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% | 28.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.32% | 64.68% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% | 24.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.66% | 59.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.44% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 8.65% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 4.02% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.63% Total : 40.48% |
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