Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
