Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
