Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
