Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
