SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
56.54% ( -4.93) | 21.76% ( 0.75) | 21.7% ( 4.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.45% ( 4.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( 2.76) | 40.04% ( -2.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.59% ( 2.8) | 62.41% ( -2.8) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.97% ( -0.6) | 14.02% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.42% ( -1.2) | 41.57% ( 1.2) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( 5.89) | 32.01% ( -5.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( 6.2) | 68.47% ( -6.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -1.39)2-0 @ 8.66% ( -1.6)3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 5.67% ( -1.2)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.45)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.66)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.18)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.29)Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.54% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.79)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.6)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.35)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.76% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.91) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.52)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.62)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.57)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.33)Other @ 2.54% Total : 21.7% |
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