Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win it was 2-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
