SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Abha had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ettifaq | Draw | Abha |
61.78% ( -0.76) | 20.97% ( 0.35) | 17.24% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 53.29% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.86% ( -0.81) | 43.14% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.46% ( -0.81) | 65.54% ( 0.8) |
| Al Ettifaq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.57% ( -0.48) | 13.43% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.6% ( -0.97) | 40.4% ( 0.97) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.55% ( 0.02) | 38.45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.8% ( 0.02) | 75.2% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ettifaq | Draw | Abha |
| 2-0 @ 10.4% 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.09% Total : 61.77% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.97% | 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.24% |
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