SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Abha had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Abha win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fayha would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Fayha | Draw | Abha |
43.23% ( -1.47) | 25.73% ( 0.58) | 31.03% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 53.8% ( -1.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.85% ( -2.09) | 50.14% ( 2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.89% ( -1.89) | 72.11% ( 1.89) |
| Al Fayha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( -1.58) | 23.08% ( 1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.08% ( -2.37) | 56.92% ( 2.36) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% ( -0.45) | 30.06% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.81% ( -0.54) | 66.19% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Fayha | Draw | Abha |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.08% Total : 43.23% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.57)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.59) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.03% |
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