CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Juba Stadium
Abdalla Hussein Elfaki (64')
Akinbinu (51'), Jinaro (72'), Omar Abdalla Makki (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Owino Chino (7'), Owino Onyango (38'), Owino Omondi (49')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between Al Merreikh Juba and Gor Mahia.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gor Mahia win with a probability of 67.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Al Merreikh Juba had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gor Mahia win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.3%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Al Merreikh Juba win it was 1-0 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Al Merreikh Juba | Draw | Gor Mahia |
12.12% ( -0.18) | 19.93% ( -0.44) | 67.95% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 43.85% ( 0.76) |
| 50.98% ( 1.36) | 49.02% ( -1.36) |
| 28.9% ( 1.22) | 71.1% ( -1.22) |
| 50.65% ( 0.53) | 49.35% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.8% ( 0.37) | 84.2% ( -0.37) |
| 86.57% ( 0.61) | 13.43% ( -0.61) |
