SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Annan Athletic |
27.38% ( -0.19) | 23.39% ( 0.34) | 49.23% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 59.3% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.14% ( -1.75) | 41.85% ( 1.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.74% ( -1.79) | 64.25% ( 1.78) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( -1.04) | 28.4% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% ( -1.33) | 64.15% ( 1.33) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% ( -0.72) | 17.17% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.58% ( -1.28) | 47.42% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 27.38% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.47)0-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.12)Other @ 4% Total : 49.23% |
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