Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
We said: Argentina Under-23s 2-1 Morocco Under-23s
These two nations will be the favourites to secure a top-two finish in Group B, ahead of Iraq and Ukraine, and success for either side in Wednesday's fixture would put them in the driving seat to finish at the summit.
Argentina cannot take Morocco lightly in what could prove to be a closely-fought contest, but we expect the South Americans to prevail by a narrow scoreline.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco Under-23s win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Argentina Under-23s win was 1-0 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco Under-23s would win this match.
| Result |
| Argentina Under-23s | Draw | Morocco Under-23s |
23.43% ( -5.18) | 23.42% ( -0.14) | 53.16% ( 5.32) |
| Both teams to score 55.16% ( -4.56) |
| 54.52% ( -3.74) | 45.48% ( 3.74) |
| 32.19% ( -3.67) | 67.81% ( 3.67) |
| Argentina Under-23s Goals |
| 66.51% ( -6.01) | 33.49% ( 6.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.88% ( -7.15) | 70.13% ( 7.15) |
| 82.93% ( 0.59) | 17.07% ( -0.59) |
