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Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 28, 2021 at 12pm UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

Spain U23s
1 - 1
Argentina U23s

Merino (66')
Gil (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Belmonte (87')
Perez (10'), Vera (53'), Colombatto (58'), Payero (61'), Bravo (81'), Mosevich (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-23s win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Argentina Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Spain Under-23sDrawArgentina Under-23s
47.53%23.33%29.13%
Both teams to score 60.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.64%40.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.26%62.73%
Spain Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75%17.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.45%47.55%
Argentina Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41%61.58%
Score Analysis
    Spain Under-23s 47.53%
    Argentina Under-23s 29.13%
    Draw 23.32%
Spain Under-23sDrawArgentina Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 5.49%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 47.53%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 7.09%
0-1 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.13%

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