SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.27%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for an Ashdod win it was 1-0 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ashdod | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
14.67% ( -0.77) | 21.27% ( -0.16) | 64.06% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.88% ( -0.76) | 49.11% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% ( -0.69) | 71.18% ( 0.69) |
| Ashdod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.58% ( -1.53) | 45.42% ( 1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.73% ( -1.23) | 81.26% ( 1.24) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% ( 0.05) | 14.65% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.21% ( 0.09) | 42.78% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ashdod | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 1-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.31% Total : 14.67% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 12.27% ( 0.42)1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 7.86% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.77% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 64.05% |
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