SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Maccabi Tel Aviv in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
32.87% ( -0.85) | 25.01% ( 0.06) | 42.12% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 56.94% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.62% ( -0.51) | 46.38% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.33% ( -0.48) | 68.66% ( 0.47) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( -0.77) | 27% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% ( -1.01) | 62.35% ( 1.01) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( 0.16) | 21.99% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.7% ( 0.23) | 55.3% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.06% Total : 32.87% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.12% |
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