Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Atletico Paso had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.24%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for an Atletico Paso win it was 1-0 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Eldense in this match.