SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Castellon |
38.36% ( -0.36) | 27.28% ( 0.17) | 34.36% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.89% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.41% ( -0.64) | 55.59% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.24% ( -0.52) | 76.76% ( 0.52) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( -0.51) | 28.13% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.19% ( -0.65) | 63.81% ( 0.65) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( -0.2) | 30.58% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.19% ( -0.23) | 66.81% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eldense | Draw | Castellon |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.36% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.36% |
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