SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Austria Klagenfurt had a probability of 20.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for an Austria Klagenfurt win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austria Klagenfurt | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
20.69% ( -0.85) | 23.23% ( -0.23) | 56.09% ( 1.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( -0.04) | 47.79% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% ( -0.04) | 69.98% ( 0.04) |
| Austria Klagenfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.62% ( -0.86) | 37.38% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.84% ( -0.86) | 74.16% ( 0.87) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.15% ( 0.37) | 16.85% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.14% ( 0.66) | 46.86% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria Klagenfurt | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.69% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 9.99% ( 0.26)1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.93% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 5.83% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.05% Total : 56.08% |
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