Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Red Bull Salzburg in this match.
Result | ||
Sturm Graz | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
26.22% ( 0) | 25.26% ( -0) | 48.52% |
Both teams to score 52.16% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.19% ( 0) | 50.81% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.3% ( 0) | 72.7% ( -0) |
Sturm Graz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.99% ( 0) | 34.01% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.31% ( 0) | 70.69% ( -0) |
Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.04% | 20.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.29% ( 0) | 53.71% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Sturm Graz | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
1-0 @ 7.69% 2-1 @ 6.48% 2-0 @ 4.15% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.82% 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.22% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 8.7% 1-3 @ 4.89% 0-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.91% 0-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.53% Total : 48.52% |
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