SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
28.89% ( 0.03) | 24.08% ( -0.16) | 47.02% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.02% ( 0.73) | 43.98% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.64% ( 0.71) | 66.36% ( -0.71) |
| Austria Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( 0.39) | 28.41% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( 0.49) | 64.17% ( -0.5) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( 0.34) | 18.85% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.69% ( 0.56) | 50.3% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.9% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.32% Total : 47.02% |
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