SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
33.69% ( 0.06) | 25.93% ( -0.03) | 40.38% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.08% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.81% ( 0.13) | 50.19% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.85% ( 0.12) | 72.15% ( -0.12) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( 0.1) | 28.34% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.93% ( 0.13) | 64.07% ( -0.13) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( 0.04) | 24.53% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% ( 0.06) | 59% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.69% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.38% |
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