Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Arbroath
63.66% ( -0.46)	20.59% ( 0.22)	15.76% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 51.31% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.87% (

-0.51)

44.13% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.49% (

-0.5)

66.51% (

0.51)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.81% (

-0.29)

13.19% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.1% (

-0.59)

39.9% (

0.6)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.11%

40.9% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.54%

77.46% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 63.65%

Arbroath 15.76%

Draw 20.59%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Arbroath
2-0 @ 11.06% 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.04% Total : 63.65%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0) Other @ 1% Total : 20.59%	0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.32% 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 15.76%