SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Arbroath |
63.66% ( -0.46) | 20.59% ( 0.22) | 15.76% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.31% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% ( -0.51) | 44.13% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% ( -0.5) | 66.51% ( 0.51) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.81% ( -0.29) | 13.19% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.1% ( -0.59) | 39.9% ( 0.6) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.11% | 40.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.54% | 77.46% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-0 @ 11.06% 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.04% Total : 63.65% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0)Other @ 1% Total : 20.59% | 0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.32% 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 15.76% |
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