SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Maccabi Netanya had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Maccabi Netanya win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Netanya |
43.23% ( -0.27) | 25.41% ( 0.01) | 31.36% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% ( 0.05) | 48.65% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.23% ( 0.05) | 70.76% ( -0.05) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( -0.11) | 22.44% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% ( -0.16) | 55.97% ( 0.16) |
| Maccabi Netanya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( 0.2) | 29.09% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% ( 0.25) | 65% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Netanya |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.23% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.36% |
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