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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
31.98% ( 0.01) | 26.98% ( 0.02) | 41.04% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.11% ( -0.08) | 54.89% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.82% ( -0.07) | 76.18% ( 0.07) |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( -0.04) | 31.81% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% ( -0.04) | 68.25% ( 0.04) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0.05) | 26.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% ( -0.07) | 61.44% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.98% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.03% |
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