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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
53.24% ( 0.2) | 24.19% ( -0.04) | 22.57% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.65% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% ( 0.01) | 49.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% ( 0.01) | 71.64% ( -0.01) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( 0.08) | 18.57% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.15% ( 0.14) | 49.84% ( -0.14) |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.44% ( -0.15) | 36.56% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.65% ( -0.15) | 73.34% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.24% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 22.57% |
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