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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
24.29% ( -0.24) | 25.23% ( 0) | 50.48% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 50.43% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.8% ( -0.21) | 52.19% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.1% ( -0.18) | 73.9% ( 0.18) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( -0.33) | 36.41% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.8% ( -0.33) | 73.19% ( 0.33) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( 0.01) | 20.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.72% ( 0.02) | 53.28% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.29% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 50.48% |
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