Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 78.69%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Chambery had a probability of 7.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.03%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a Chambery win it was 2-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.