SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Consadole Sapporo | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
44.38% ( 0.29) | 23.31% ( 0.02) | 32.31% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 62.8% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.38% ( -0.23) | 38.62% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.08% ( -0.24) | 60.92% ( 0.24) |
| Consadole Sapporo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.2% ( 0.02) | 17.8% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.48% ( 0.05) | 48.52% ( -0.05) |
| Kyoto Sanga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( -0.29) | 23.6% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( -0.42) | 57.67% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Consadole Sapporo | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.87% Total : 44.38% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.31% |
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